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Good morning, Adaeze

6 active programmes · 20 tracked risks · 2 critical · updated 12 min ago

Open featured programme
Executive summary

Portfolio holding at 72/100, but momentum is deteriorating on 1 programme driven by tunnelling slip in Lagos and MEP rework in Manila. Single-source signaling exposure remains the highest unmitigated risk. KAIRN flagged 5 emerging signals in the last 14 days — recommended actions are queued for executive approval.

Confidence 86%Δ Health −2 vs last weekAvg schedule slip +23d
On track

3

Within tolerance

At risk

2

Watchlist — intervention recommended

Off track

1

Executive escalation

Critical path

Severe risk

Stable

100

Exposure index

5

open items

Avg slip +23d · TBM advance & MEP rework dominating slack consumption

Procurement

Elevated risk

Rising

59

Exposure index

2

open items

Single-source signaling vendor in distress · Q3 asphalt supply constrained

Stakeholder

Elevated risk

Stable

63

Exposure index

4

open items

Mushin community pushback · donor reporting alignment improving

Overall portfolio health

72of 100

Weighted across 6 programmes

+2 vs last week

Emerging risks

5

trending up this week

Critical risks

2

across portfolio

Top 5 emerging risks

Detected last 14 days
  • criticalScope

    MEP coordination clashes on Block C

    Manila Regional Hospital Complex · Owner: R. Santos

    View
  • criticalProcurement

    Signaling subcontractor financial distress

    Lagos Metro Line 3 · Owner: S. Patel

    View
  • highSchedule

    Tunnel boring delay at Yaba segment

    Lagos Metro Line 3 · Owner: A. Okonkwo

    View
  • highGeopolitical

    Security clearance for field teams — Mali

    Sahel Climate Adaptation Fund · Owner: F. Diallo

    View
  • highCost

    FX exposure on imported rolling stock

    Lagos Metro Line 3 · Owner: M. Adeyemi

    View

Risk heat map

Likelihood × Impact (count per cell)

HighLikelihoodLow
2
1
3
5
1
1
3
3
1
LowImpactHigh

Risk evolution — last 12 weeks

Open risks stacked by severity

Critical +3 QoQ

Programme health — last 12 weeks

Per-programme health score trajectory

Recommended actions

Highest impact · open
  • Pre-qualify backup signaling vendor

    Lagos Metro Line 3 · S. Patel · Due 2026-06-21

    Impact: HighEffort: MediumIn progress
  • Execute FX hedge on EUR exposure

    Lagos Metro Line 3 · M. Adeyemi · Due 2026-06-14

    Impact: HighEffort: LowNot started
  • Re-baseline TBM advance schedule

    Lagos Metro Line 3 · A. Okonkwo · Due 2026-06-30

    Impact: HighEffort: HighNot started
  • Accelerate translocation programme

    A14 Eastern Expansion · R. Hughes · Due 2026-06-20

    Impact: HighEffort: MediumIn progress
  • Activate remote monitoring protocol

    Sahel Climate Adaptation Fund · F. Diallo · Due 2026-07-01

    Impact: HighEffort: MediumIn progress
  • BIM clash resolution sprint

    Manila Regional Hospital Complex · R. Santos · Due 2026-06-16

    Impact: HighEffort: HighIn progress

Programmes

RAG status by weighted health score

Green ≥75 Amber 55–74 Red <55
StatusProgrammeSectorPhaseHealthRisksSchedule var.Updated
At riskLagos Metro Line 3

Lagos State Government · Lagos, Nigeria

InfrastructureExecution626+42d2 hours ago
On trackNairobi Water Resilience Programme

World Bank / Athi Water · Nairobi, Kenya

International DevelopmentExecution783+12d1 day ago
At riskA14 Eastern Expansion

National Highways UK · Cambridgeshire, UK

InfrastructureExecution714+21d5 hours ago
On trackSahel Climate Adaptation Fund

UNDP / AfDB · Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger

International DevelopmentPlanning8420d3 days ago
On trackRiyadh Suburban Rail Phase 2

Royal Commission for Riyadh · Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

InfrastructurePlanning812+6d2 days ago
Off trackManila Regional Hospital Complex

Department of Health, Philippines · Metro Manila, Philippines

ConstructionExecution543+56d6 hours ago